More interest than investment as Burma opens up

More interest than investment as Burma opens up

In the lobbies and bars of Rangoon’s high-end hotels, the shady pasts of Burma’s business elite do not seem to deter the hordes of western businessmen who have come to seek their fortune in the resource-rich country.

“Right now, Burma is a blank canvas,” one investor says. “And we’re the artists.”

And bringing Burma into the 21st century is surely a Michelangelo-esque challenge to these investors, as they sip their cold drinks and discuss plans to paint Southeast Asia’s Sistine Chapel with the bold strokes of new roads, train lines, ports, electrical grids and telecommunications networks.

One of the most under-developed countries in Southeast Asia, Burma’s economy has been crippled by decades of economic mismanagement and restrictive international sanctions.

Access to the country’s business circuit has been controlled by a small, elitist circle of business tycoons with close ties to Burma’s former military regime, which still control the majority of private enterprise.

As Burma opens up for business, foreign investors invariably have to deal with the tycoons who control access to the country’s lagging economy.

Some notable Burmese business figures include Tay Za and Zaw Zaw, the former labelled a “notorious henchman and arms dealer” by the US Treasury for his association with the country’s former junta.

He remains on the EU and US sanctions list and his major business interests include Htoo Group and Air Bagan, the country’s first and only fully privately owned airline.

Zaw Zaw’s friendship with former dictator Than Shwe saw him labelled a “regime crony” by the US Treasury Department, which also slapped him with targeted financial and travel sanctions.

The owner of Max Myanmar Group, Zaw Zaw’s business holdings reportedly range from construction and luxury resorts to rubber plantations, timber and gems.

Advocacy groups and opposition party, the National League of Democracy, have voiced concerns that as the investment boom hits the country, the only Burmese benefiting from the gold rush are the crony capitalists linked to the former regime.

NLD Chairman U Tin Oo, says all new foreign investment is going straight to the pockets of the former regime.

“We are concerned that right now the power and money is concentrated in the hands of just a few cronies,” says Tin Oo.

But this hasn’t deterred eager investors from flocking to the impoverished nation since the easing of sanctions by the international community, the response to a series of reforms by President Thein Sein’s government.

[pullquote] “Some investors think they can just fly in and do a sweet deal over the weekend, but that’s not how it works here” [/pullquote]

In the corner of the bustling 50th Street Bar in downtown Rangoon, an American, an Australian and an Italian are discussing the merits of setting up a business council to provide a one-stop advisory shop for western investors.

“It’s a little bit like the Wild West here at the moment and we’re going to see a lot of cowboys coming in,” says one business source.

“Some investors think they can just fly in and do a sweet deal over the weekend, but that’s not how it works here.”

“Currying favour with the movers and shakers of the Burmese business scene is part and parcel of doing business in this country,” he says.

One disillusioned New York property investor arrived two days ago and says he’s already making plans to return home, frustrated by the lack of visible business options.

“I want to buy one of these old buildings, restore it and turn it into a backpackers hostel, maybe stick a jazz bar in there,” he says, gesturing at a looming colonial block across the street from the Traders Hotel.

“But I’m reading the newspapers, there’s no advertising, nothing for sale.”

A French national lights his fifth cigarette from the same number of packets. He’s not a chain smoker but is setting out to sample the various cigarette brands on offer amongst Burma’s bustling tobacco trade.

“We want to sell tobacco processing equipment to the Burmese,” he says, but with the prices ranging from 200 kyat (around $US 0.25) for the cheapest packet to 700 kyat for the popular Red Ruby brand, he’s not sure how the investment will ever pay off.

He says he’s also in negotiations to sell some second-hand aircraft to Burmese business tycoon Tay Za’s Air Bagan, but swears he’d never fly with the domestic airline because their accident rate is too high.

A British representative of Sir Richard Branson’s Virgin Group’s holiday armsays he’s on a tight itinerary around the major centres to evaluate the potential for packaged tours to the reclusive nation, which promises to be Southeast Asia’s next hot spot for tourists.

At another table, a group of businessmen discuss the best location to grow olives in Burma. They decide Mandalay has the most suitable climate.

Although a lot of deals are being discussed, not much money is actually exchanging hands, says Australian economist and Burma expert Sean Turnell.

“There is certainly a gold rush of interest, but so far little cash on the table from western investors,” Mr Turnell says.

He says many investors are surprised by how difficult it is to do business in Burma and the limited infrastructure and restrictive legal and economic conditions are the main hindrances to international investment.

Burmese economist and former government adviser, Khin Maung Nyo says the country’s economic reforms have opened the playing field however access to capital is one of the greatest barriers to many Burmese would-be entrepreneurs.

He says the greatest advances on the domestic front are small to medium enterprises (SMEs) involved in manufacturing and domestic trade.

“But I’m afraid there are not many businesses which can compete with foreign investors,” he says.

Khin Maung Nyo says the majority of the country’s foreign investment still comes from China, Thailand and Singapore, despite the easing of sanctions by major western economies and a decision by the EU to suspend their economic restrictions on the country for one year.

A British expatriate in the telecommunications industry is optimistic about the government’s reforms but says the international community has not done enough to reward Burma for its progress.

“Myanmar has been judged differently to other countries in Asia. Vietnam is not democratic, Laos is not democratic, China of course is another example, yet Myanmar is the only country which has had punitive sanctions for having a regime government and that’s been unfair.”

He notes a level of frustration amongst the Burmese government and business circuit and says the international community needs to remove sanctions, which are counterproductive to the reform process and the country’s development.

He says the EU’s carrots and sticks approach towards Burma has failed.

“Regarding the EU sanctions, the Burmese government has done everything they were asked to do and the EU has effectively moved the goal posts.”

“They’ve said they’re not convinced and need another year to decide, but what more can the Burmese government do? Suu Kyi taking the seat, that should have been it,” he says.

He says foreign investment and development is crucial to securing reform in Burma.

“The country needs investment to secure the reform, so if you put up barriers that prevent investment, you’re basically giving ammunition to the hardliners to say, see, whatever we do, it’s never good enough.

“That’s a correct argument which gives the hardliners power and could potentially slow things down and reverse with reform process, which nobody wants. It doesn’t make sense.”

-Victoria Heather is a pseudonym for a journalist working in Burma.

Editor’s note: A majority of the investors interviewed for this article spoke on the condition that their name would not be published.

 

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