A Q&A with Aung Thu Nyeen, the communications director of the Institute for Strategy and Policy (ISP Myanmar), on the regime’s transfer of State Counsellor Aung San Suu Kyi and President Win Myint from their prison cells to house arrest in the capital Naypyidaw.
DVB: Aung San Suu Kyi and Win Myint have been transferred from prison to house arrest because of the hot weather, regime spokesperson Zaw Min Tun stated. Where do you think they have been moved?
ATN: To the best of my knowledge, they are still in Naypyidaw. The Prisons Department has constructed a private residence for them.
However, I do not have any other details at the moment. There is also a rumor circulating that the Chinese ambassador or Chinese diplomats have met with Aung San Suu Kyi.
DVB: Do you think the regime is using Aung San Suu Kyi and President Win Myint to get something in return from Beijing?
ATN: Zaw Min Tun said that the weather is too hot [and the jailed leaders are elderly]. But during previous regimes, they would meet directly for talks with Aung San Suu Kyi.
If the news comes out that Aung San Suu Kyi had discussions with the regime this would have implications.
DVB: In the past, Aung San Suu Kyi was often used by regimes if they wanted concessions [from the international community]. So, if they have done this, would they be successful?
ATN: I think it is difficult to achieve success if Aung San Suu Kyi is used. Although she still holds value and influence in national and international politics. But it is hard to say whether the problem can be solved or not.
DVB: Do you think that the regime will use Aung San Suu Kyi as an intermediary in negotiations with the armed resistance forces?
ATN: The armed conflict is not going to end anytime soon. If Aung San Suu Kyi is released and put in a more comfortable position, or if she meets with diplomats, there may be opportunities for her to speak about how to achieve peace.
DVB: What is the significance of the relocation of Aung San Suu Kyi and President Win Myint?
ATN: There is nothing special. However, it would be beneficial to see them released or placed in a more comfortable environment. Regardless, it is good to hear that they are coping well with the harsh weather conditions.
